Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Predicting the Future


Yesterday I attended a Microsoft Research meeting on artificial intelligence, where, in addition to discussing a number of grand challenges in AI, attendees celebrated Eric Horvitz's recent AAAI Feigenbaum Prize by writing down our predictions for artificial intelligence in 2050. It was really interesting to read everyone's reflections on what the world might look like in 35 years.

My 2050 prediction: The nature of information work will change drastically. Many information work tasks will be done by intelligent systems, with people only providing input to fill in the gaps that the system cannot perform. Most information workers will either be unskilled or highly specialized, and the work they do will often be decoupled from the larger task to which they contribute. Task subcomponents that require human input will be matched to the worker who is optimally qualified to address it, and only the necessary context to complete the subtask will be provided. Because information tasks will be modularized and self contained, many information workers will be able to integrate paid work into their personal lives, working in their spare moments from home when it is convenient instead of in large chunks from the office. Improved efficiency and automation will mean they will be able to work less or fewer information workers will be needed.

Our emerging ability to transform large tasks into microtasks will drive this change. People once believed a skilled craftsman was needed to build a car, but then they figured out how to decompose the task into repeatable subcomponents that could be completed by unskilled workers and, later, robots. Similarly, while many believe that complex information tasks can only be performed by skilled information workers, we are discovering it is possible to pull out the repeatable subcomponents from these tasks to be performed by the task owner (selfsourcing), the crowd (crowdsourcing), and, eventually, artificial intelligence. The transformation of information work into microwork will change when and how people work, and enable individuals and automated processes to efficiently and easily complete tasks that currently seem challenging.

Now it's your turn. What is your prediction for artificial intelligence in 2050?

31 comments:

  1. Hey!

    I bet 2050 will be the future with lesser emotions and more technology. Perhaps even emotions and other normal human behaviour might be coded. Thanks for the wonderful share!

    Regards
    Life saver essays

    ReplyDelete
  2. This is the great information about the prediction of future. In this world, changes are happening too fast. Most of things are become automated. The transfer of information become so fast. It saves our time a lot. The progress of a nation depends on it. You can find more information on wellness shot. We are progressing day by day with new technologies. The gadgets are becoming smaller so that place is not issue for it. In 2050, we will see a new picture of this world.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The Exclusive Females Lahore Escorts Services are the Best Entertainment Service We have Stunning Models who will make fun in your life we have very aggressive manner Escorts in Lahore for your Service at affordable rate and They are extremely attractive over your expectation they are talented and perfect for entertain Call us Now.

    ReplyDelete
  4. In the healthcare business, nurses are finding that individuals who have pursued an RN-BSN diploma program tend to be times prepared to proceed from traditional patient care to distinct roles in the health care sector. You can read more at site

    ReplyDelete
  5. Thank you for sharing this informative post.MyAssignmenthelp.co.uk is giving dissertamarketing dissertation Help
    tion conclusion help to students.we are already trusted by thousands of students who struggle to write their academic papers and also by those students who simply want
    help with marketing dissertation
    to save their time and make life easy.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Allessaywriter.com is the home of the best essay writing service in the world Is “I need help writing my essays,” the first thought on your mind? Does it cause you stress even when you’re trying to relax? Are you thinking about employing essay help? Then do we have news for you! Allessaywriter.com is here to make you an offer you cannot refuse!
    For the cheapest rates, we offer you our time-tested service, which includes but is not limited to:
    Guaranteed 100% plagiarism-free content
    Delivery straight to your mailbox on time, every time
    24/7 live online help service to clear all doubts and questions
    We bring our 1500+ team of PhD holding experts to bear on every assignment. Our dedication to quality is what makes us the best essay writing service in the market.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Nice to be visiting your blog again, it has been months for me. Well this article that i've been waited for so long. I need this article to complete my assignment in the college, and it has same topic with your article. Thanks, great share.
    rta bus timing

    ReplyDelete
  8. Kareerkonncect is a leading software training institute providing Software Training, Project Guidance, IT consulting and Technology Workshops. Using our enhanced global software training delivery methodology, innovative software training approach and industry expertise, we provide high-value corporate training services that enable our clients to enhance business performance, accelerate time-to-market, increase productivity and improve customer service. More Info- Cpt Jobs in usa

    ReplyDelete
  9. Do this hack to drop 2lb of fat in 8 hours

    At least 160 000 women and men are losing weight with a easy and SECRET "liquids hack" to lose 1-2lbs every night as they sleep.

    It's easy and works all the time.

    You can do it yourself by following these easy steps:

    1) Hold a glass and fill it with water half full

    2) Then follow this awesome hack

    and be 1-2lbs lighter the very next day!

    ReplyDelete
  10. Thanks for the interesting and informative post. If you need help in writing assignments or essays please contact here.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Stones International offers professional and tailored Properties for sale in Dubai to our wide base of clients. With a diverse team of highly-qualified and experienced client managers on board, we are ready to assist our customers, whether you are a first-time property finder looking to Renting properties in Dubai, or an owner planning to sell a property in your possession.
    With an ever-competitive Dubai real estate market, we can provide you hassle-free property solutions, optimizing the best deals for owners and helping buyers acquire their dream property at the most competitive price.
    We have an extensive selection of properties such as villas, apartments, townhouse, office and retail spaces, plots and land, full buildings and Apartments for sale in Dubai our catalogue, located across a wide range of areas

    ReplyDelete
  12. BK004 Essential E-marketing Strategy,Provide a brief description of your chosen company in terms of its target markets, its marketing mix and in particular its eMarketing activities if they implemented any.

    ReplyDelete
  13. I agree with the facts you stated above. You have a beautiful flow with words. For students who are struggling to write their assignments on their own, I suggest they choose the Paraphrasing Tool service of LiveWebTutors. It is a perfect and affordable platform that helps you to achieve top grades in your academic activities.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Use Assignment Helper administrations in the event that you don't discover anything to form your scholarly paper or schoolwork. Now and again, you can't focus on your investigations in view of being occupied with numerous exercises and discover hard to compose your assignment

    ReplyDelete
  15. Being a tutorial writer from past 5 years providing dissertation writing services to high school and university students also related to greatassignmenthelp.com platform. What percentage times didn't complete your Online Assignment Help before the submission deadline? do i always struggle to impress your teacher with a fantastic write-up?

    ReplyDelete
  16. I am an Academic Writer, writing is my passion and I can Write My Coursework on anything, also, writing is the great way to express your emotions, Students often look for the best quality information and expert assistance from different websites. greatassignmenthelp.com, the most popular online educational assistance website, provides every help and assistance with coursework.

    ReplyDelete
  17. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete


  18. cheapest essay is one of the most requested services we give to USA students studying computer science. Our staff of professionals is well-trained and equipped to provide assistance in any computer language or operating system.

    ReplyDelete
  19. I am very thankful for such a wonderful blog. It's very interesting to read and easy to understand. Thanks for sharing. I will visit your blog daily because I know. It may be very beneficial for me. If you want to Fix Common QuickBooks Pro Error please contact our team for instant help.

    ReplyDelete
  20. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete

  21. I am Really looking forward to read more. Your site is very helpful for us .. Whatever is your budget, we invite you to visit the best properties you chose and experience homecoming. At ApartmentOnRent.com



    ReplyDelete
  22. POKERBULLS - Agen judi online terbaik & terpercaya yang menyediakan berbagai macam permainan judi online terlengkap. Hanya dengan 1 user ID kamu bisa mainkan semua permainan yang ada disini. Proses yang cepat serta layanan 24 Jam Non stop.

    Nikmati berbagai bonus menarik seperti :

    > Proses deposit & withdraw yang cepat
    > Bonus New Member 30%
    > Bonus Deposit Harian 10%
    > Bonus Rollingan / Mingguan 10%
    > Bonus Cashback up to 0.3%
    > Tersedia deposit melalui antar bank dan deposit via pulsa ( telkomsel & XL )

    Yuk bergabung sekarang juga :
    Whatsapp : +85592957694
    DAFTAR POKERBULLS
    SITUS SLOT TERBARU
    FREEBET SLOT TERBARU
    AGEN SLOT DEPO PULSA
    SLOT ONLINE TERPERCAYA POKERBULLS

    ReplyDelete
  23. Assignment Assistance New Zealand's services by Thetutorshelp.com are designed for students studying in the country. This includes all kinds of support for students who come to carry out their assignments successfully. As part of completing an essay or study course, it is common in New Zealand universities to assign students various assignments to prove their point. Direct communication with professors can sometimes be stressful for students, which is why Thetutorshelp.com provides immediate help to students in completing their assignments.
    https://www.thetutorshelp.com/new-zealand.php
    Assignment Help in New Zealand

    ReplyDelete
  24. Jó honlap : Zonahobisaya
    Jó honlap : Zonahobisaya
    Jó honlap : One Piece
    Jó honlap : Sinopsis Film
    Jó honlap : Zonahobisaya
    Jó honlap : lambang
    Jó honlap : Zonahobisaya
    Jó honlap : Zonahobisaya

    ReplyDelete
  25. Medical school graduates are expected to complete academic assignments, projects, and rotations. Every year, students join the field of medicine with a fresh set of objectives and problems to overcome. Throughout their undergraduate careers, medical students are expected to complete a variety of projects and assignments. These initiatives provide opportunities for medical students to study and grow into well-rounded professionals. Medical education assignment help is available from a variety of sources, including internet resources and medical societies. General information, guidance, or even particular tasks can all be used to assist with assignments.

    ReplyDelete
  26. Hi! The theme you explored in your post reminded me of my 200 word essay
    that was published online. If you want you could read it on the above-mentioned website.

    ReplyDelete
  27. I like to read research paper but Website Content Writing is easy for me to digest.

    ReplyDelete
  28. very efficient information about Predicting the Future. The future of AI writing is uncertain. While some people are optimistic about the future of AI writing, others are not. The uncertainty is due to the lack of use cases for AI writing and the lack of understanding about how AI works. This article will discuss how we can predict the future of AI writing based on its current use cases and what we know about how it works. In this article,

    1) Use cases for AI writing in content creation

    2)How does an algorithm work

    3) What are some possible futures for AI writers

    Most students are drawn to this kind of information, but they are unable to prepare for their exams, If you have been struggling with your exams and want assistance,Get Exam Help Online for me is dedicated to helping students get higher grades on their examinations by providing them with the best available resources, including quality academic services.

    ReplyDelete
  29. The demand for online courses is increasing day by day. It has also become more important to provide a course that is relevant and up to date.

    pay someone to do my online course are becoming more popular than ever, but the demand for qualified teachers is growing at an exponential rate. This means you could be paying someone to do your online course for you!

    ReplyDelete
  30. In this section, I will be discussing the future of AI writing assistants and how they will change the way we work. In the future, AI writers will be able to generate content for a variety of topics and niches, including marketing content, blog posts, and research papers. They will also be able to create content that is personalized for each individual user. AI writers are going to play a critical role in shaping our world in the future. They are going to help us generate relevant content at scale. Most students are drawn to these types of articles and information, but they are unable to prepare for their exams, If you have been struggling with your exams and want assistance, students can hire someone to take my online class for me and get higher grades on their examinations by providing them with the best available resources, including quality academic services.

    ReplyDelete